Archive for ‘Chindia Alert’

10/07/2013

The Risky Business of Retirement in China

BusinessWeek: “It’s not surprising that China’s roller-coaster stock markets have earned scant investor confidence. On Tuesday, the respected Beijing financial magazine Caijing reported on a survey of 9,282 investors in Chinese stock markets. Over the lifetime of their investments, just 16 percent had seen net earnings of more than 10 percent; 70 percent had seen losses of more than 10 percent.

An investor watches the electronic board at a stock exchange hall on June 24, 2013 in Huaibei, China

The performance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange often seems bizarrely detached from national economic performance. Since the beginning of the year, the Shanghai Shenzhen 300 Index—an index of leading stocks on the two exchanges—is down 11.3 percent. Even the famed British money manager Anthony Bolton lost money when he came to China. Bolton, who managed Fidelity International Special Situations Fund for nearly three decades with a stunning average annual return of 19.5 percent, launched the investment trust Fidelity China Special Situations in 2010. Three years later, that fund is down 15 percent, and Bolton plans to step down next year.

The volatile performance of China’s stock markets gives pause to investors of all stripes, but it also unfortunately intersects with another worrying trend in China: the graying of the population. China today is home to 180 million people over age 60. That figure is expected to double to 360 million by 2030. According to Wang Feng, director of the Brookings-Tsinghua Center in Beijing, by 2030, at least one in five people in China will be over age 65. How can they prudently invest for retirement?

The average life expectancy in China is now 73 for men and 79 for women, up more than 12 years since 1970, thanks to improved health care and nutrition. But the mandatory retirement age for most workers in China is fairly low: 50 for women and 60 for men. As a comprehensive report by the Prudential Foundation and the Center for Strategic & International Studies, China’s Long March to Retirement Reform, put it, “older workers seem to have little place in China’s new economic order.” The report also found that as of 2007, only 65 percent of the urban workforce, including both civil servants and private-sector employees, was contributing to even a basic state-mandated pension plan.

For the past half decade, real estate has been the preferred investment vehicle in China. Only two decades old, China’s private real estate market has never yet seen a downturn. Home prices in many leading cities, however, have risen so quickly that many nonwealthy Chinese are struggling today to enter the market and buy their first homes, even with the help of parents’ and extended family’s savings. (To be sure, many analysts and even Chinese megadeveloper Vanke’s chairman, Wang Shi, say the country’s heated real estate market risks becoming a bubble: “If the bubble lasted, it will be dangerous,” Wang told a recent conference in Shanghai.)”

via The Risky Business of Retirement in China – Businessweek.

10/07/2013

Growth of China’s Service Sector Slows

BusinessWeek: “The latest less-than-encouraging news from China’s economy: Service-sector companies are seeing lackluster business, according to two separate surveys released July 3. That follows disappointing news showing China’s manufacturing growth is also slowing, announced just days earlier.

The opening of the K11 Art Mall in Shanghai, China, on June 28, 2013

A government survey by China’s National Bureau of Statistics and Federation of Logistics and Purchasing of 1,200 nonmanufacturing companies in 27 industries, including retail, catering, construction, and transportation, showed business activity losing steam, with a reading of 53.9 in June, down from 54.3 the previous month (a reading above 50 shows expansion). A separate private survey conducted by HSBC and Markit Economics, covering 400 private service-sector companies, showed business basically unchanged, at 51.3 in June, compared with 51.2 the month before.

“The underlying growth momentum is likely to be softening for services sectors, along with the slowdown of manufacturing growth,” warned Hongbin Qu, Chief Economist, China & Co-Head of Asian Economic Research at HSBC (HSBA:LN), in a statement released July 3.

This is not good news for China’s new leaders, who have recently reiterated a national goal of economic rebalancing. That means moving from an emphasis on investment to one more reliant on consumption, with a crucial need for a bigger, stronger service economy. China’s service sector, now at 44.6 percent of the economy, is up 2.7 percentage points from 12 months ago. Still, that’s well below the 60 percent of GDP common in most developed countries, reported China’s official Xinhua News Agency on May 29.”

via Growth of China’s Service Sector Slows – Businessweek.

See also: https://chindia-alert.org/economic-factors/china-needs-to-rebalance-her-economy/

10/07/2013

China Absent From Transparency International’s Global Corruption Report

WSJ: “How bad is corruption in China? Don’t ask.

That’s the answer Transparency International says it got from Chinese market research firms as it conducted a survey on the topic.

“We approached a number of different local survey companies, but they did not feel that it would be possible to implement a survey of this nature in China without omitting many of the questions,” a spokeswoman for the Berlin-based group said in an email response to questions.

On Tuesday, Transparency International published a report it had been touting in recent weeks as the “biggest-ever public opinion survey on corruption.”

Yet despite the breadth of its research – 114,000 people surveyed in 107 countries – Transparency International doesn’t mention China once in its 48-page Global Corruption Barometer 2013. A pull-down tab of country reports on the organization’s website skips from Chile to Colombia.

“It’s true that China is clearly the main omission in terms of the survey’s country coverage, but we still firmly believe the Global Corruption Barometer’s overall messages and results are globally relevant,” the spokeswoman said. “Every time we do this research we seek to find ways to include China, but it remains a huge challenge.”

Corruption is a common topic of discussion in China.

Communist Party leaders have regularly said official corruption is the biggest threat to the leadership’s legitimacy. In March, just hours into his presidency, Xi Jinping urged his new team to “reject formalism, bureaucratism, hedonism and extravagance, and resolutely fight against corruption and other misconduct.”

Market researchers say corruption is too sensitive to probe in significant depth, given China’s controls on all forms of domestic media.

Last October, the Pew Research Center said half the Chinese people answering one of its surveys said corrupt officials are a major problem.

Pew said it hired a Beijing firm, Horizon Consultancy Group, to ask dozens of attitude questions related to society and politics including, “Tell me if you think it is a very big problem, a moderately big problem, a small problem or not a problem at all: Corrupt business people.”

Transparency International’s approach is more blunt: it says it starts with the assumption that corruption exists everywhere.

For its Global Corruption Barometer report, Transparency International used a multi-question survey focused only on bribery, malfeasance and influence peddling. Its surveyors around the world began with the pointed query, “Over the past two years, how has the level of corruption in this country changed?”

One measure of China’s corruption is the outsider’s view. Based on that measure, China ranked 80th out of 174 countries in an index of corruption perception published by Transparency International last year.”

via China Absent From Transparency International’s Global Corruption Report – China Real Time Report – WSJ.

10/07/2013

Are we talking the same language – Women and Communication at Work

Good insight from an Indian woman about Indian women at work.

Pointed out to me by Rohan Khanna. Many thanks.

Nita Kapoor's avatarNita Kapoor

The styles that men and women use to communicate have been described as “debate vs. relate”, “report vs. rapport, or “competitive vs. cooperative”. Men often seek straightforward solutions to problems and useful advice whereas women tend to try and establish intimacy by discussing problems and showing concern and empathy in order to reinforce relationships. Men focus more on trying to prove themselves to be better than the others in the group, while women want to make sure no one feels left out.

Some of these gender traits inculcated by the socialisation process show up in the issues faced by women in the corporate world. It has taken generations of struggle for women to come out of their homes and work at par with the men in this man’s world. Years into the feminist quantum leap, age old stereotype still prevails – if we women assert ourselves forcefully, people perceive us…

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09/07/2013

Newly discovered ancient maps support Chinese territorial claims

It’s a dangerous precedent to rely on ancient maps. The reason is that unless one goes back far enough, there is always the chance there is another set of older maps that refute the ones you think have the final word on your claims.

30/06/2013

DFS supports British manufacturing resurgence

The trend to reduce manufacturing in China continues to gather pace. The main causes are rising labour costs and high shipping costs.

The Observer: “Anyone subjected to brash DFS adverts promising double discounts and 0% finance on sofas would think it was impossible for the furniture firm to get its products from anywhere other than low-cost factories in the developing world.

Bringing jobs back home: DFS chief executive Ian Filby at the furniture manufacturer's production fa

However, the company is one of a number of British businesses, including Golden Wonder, Hornby and Aston Martin, that has stopped shipping products back to the UK and is transporting jobs to these shores instead, making it the biggest sofa manufacturer in Europe.

At a DFS factory on an industrial estate in Derbyshire there are banks of sewing machines, state-of-the-art fabric cutters and gas-powered staple guns.

Harvey Ellis, head of manufacturing at DFS, who oversees the 838 workers on three sites and in two woodmills, explained: “Once we receive an order, it takes just four days to go from an order on our screens to being loaded on to a van. The frames are shipped in from our wood factory six miles away and we will make 3,000 pieces a week. Today we’ll complete 900.”

In three years DFS has toned down its Chinese activities to join the march of the makers, increasing UK production by a quarter. One worker, nail gun at the ready, said he could cover an entire sofa with fabric – sewn by the factory’s seamstresses – in less than 30 minutes.

It is a skill in much demand. The desire for British-made products has become so great that the factory in Alfreton has just increased its workload, adding an extra shift to keep it running 16 hours a day. Along with two more factories in Doncaster and Long Eaton, it means DFS now makes nearly all of its fabric sofas in the UK, accounting for half of all furniture sold by the company. Only the labour-intensive leather products are still made abroad.

DFS chief executive Ian Filby said he wanted to see the business return to its British roots, and that customers now asked why the company did not make more of its UK credentials.

“Customers are astounded to think that a value-for-money player is also a major UK manufacturer,” he said. Then, with a nod to the dark days of the three-day week, he added: “We all know about the bad old seventies, but the historical mindset of ‘all UK manufacturing is shoddy’ has gone full circle and people now see the UK as the sort of place where people work hard and make a decent crust. People believe that quality product is made in the UK and aren’t going to buy British if the product is poor.”

DFS appears to have tapped into a patriotic zeal among the British public. Its market share has risen from 25% to 28% in the last three years and Filby believes that there are also compelling financial reasons for bringing work back to the UK.

“I’d be surprised if there’s not a lot of British manufacturers wanting to be more responsive to shorter lead times. We’re never going to compete with the sweatshops of the Far East as a country, but you can manufacture here as long as you’re adding design or R&D [research and development]. I think the other phenomena which people recognise and is going to continue, is that moving things around the globe is expensive.”

And it is not just DFS that has seen the benefits of shifting work back to the UK. This year Golden Wonder revealed that its Pot Noodle snack will be made in Leeds instead of being shipped 10,000 miles from China, and Aston Martin Rapide S cars are now built in the Midlands, while clothing businesses including Topshop and Marks & Spencer are selling more British-made outfits.

Lee Hopley, chief economist at the EEF manufacturing association, explained that manufacturing in the UK was increasing as costs overseas grew and customers became more demanding.

“I think customers would be surprised by how much is made in the UK,” she said. “There is a lingering perception that it is still made overseas. Manufacturing output is higher now than the 1980s in real terms, although we’re still 11% below our pre-recession peak. There’s been big investment in technology and equipment, while there is also a focus now on innovation to look beyond the product.”

Model railway maker Hornby is another example, shifting its paint production back to the UK from China after there were fears that any quality issues would take several weeks to be resolved. Executive chairman Roger Canham added that making products closer to home helped businesses respond to demand – and check for errors – more easily.

“It takes four weeks for a shipment to arrive from China, which means if you want to check the quality you have to wait until it arrives,” he said. “Now, if I want to check all I need to do is jump in a car and go to the factory.

“There was a huge surge in manufacturing from China in the 1990s, but now that wages are increasing and shipping is more expensive it’s slowed down. We’ve got a new range of Airfix quick- build models which we will manufacture in the UK because it gives us a better chance to respond to demand quickly.”

And with the shift in work back to the UK come much-needed new jobs, at a time when youth unemployment running at around 20%.

Filby said he would create 250 new jobs at DFS this year, having hired 400 new people in the 18 months to January, and revealed that one of the benefits of having UK factories was the loyalty he got from the staff who had worked there for generations.”

via DFS supports British manufacturing resurgence | Business | The Observer.

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29/06/2013

China’s outbound tourists surpass 37 million

China Daily: “The number of outbound tourists leaving China reached 37.92 million in the first five months this year, up 17.3 percent compared with the same period in 2012, according to China National Tourism Administration (CNTA) statistics.

However, the number of overnight inbound tourists dropped, the administration said.

Inbound overnight visitors reached 22.93 million between January and May, down 4.06 percent over the same period last year.

Domestic travelers reached 998 million in the first quarter, up 14.1 percent, with domestic travel revenue standing at 765.7 billion yuan ($123.92 billion), up 18.4 percent, according to the administration.

In the second half of this year, China will further promote key markets and foster potential ones to develop its inbound traveling sector, said Zhu Shanzhong, deputy director of the CNTA.

China has the world’s largest domestic tourism market and outbound Chinese tourists are the biggest spenders worldwide.”

via China’s outbound tourists surpass 37 million |Society |chinadaily.com.cn.

29/06/2013

Chinese Official Sentenced to 13 Years in Sex Scandal That Was Exposed on Internet

NY Times: “Lei Zhengfu, a Chinese official who became a symbol of corruption, was convicted of taking bribes and sentenced to 13 years in prison on Friday in a scandal that exposed the sordid deal-making in Communist Party politics.

The conviction of Mr. Lei was the culmination of a fall that began when video images spread on the Internet in November showing him with an 18-year-old woman. The images, and ensuing accusations of graft and extortion, made him a much-mocked exhibit in the newly appointed Communist Party leadership’s efforts to persuade citizens that it was stamping out official graft and depravity, which have stoked deepening public ire.

Mr. Lei was sentenced days after President Xi Jinping made a new call to halt bureaucratic corruption and bribe-taking. A court in Chongqing, the municipality in southwest China where Mr. Lei once worked, dismissed his argument that a payoff of $488,000, or 3 million renminbi, he had arranged through an associate was a legitimate loan, not hush money to keep secret the video showing him with the young woman.

The court said the money amounted to a bribe.

“The sums involved were massive, and the effects were malign,” said the verdict read to Mr. Lei in the courtroom, according to Xinhua, China’s state-run news agency. “This should be sternly punished according to the law.”

China’s leaders have vowed to get rid of corrupt officials, however low or high. Before his dismissal in November, Mr. Lei was the party secretary of Beibei, a district of Chongqing. Critics said the spectacle of his trial did not make up for Mr. Xi’s failure thus far to take down senior officials, despite widespread speculation about corruption investigations in the government and the military involving powerful figures and large amounts of money.”

via Chinese Official Sentenced to 13 Years in Sex Scandal That Was Exposed on Internet – NYTimes.com.

28/06/2013

Chinese Vice premier urges effective poverty relief efforts

Xinhua: “Chinese Vice Premier Wang Yang called for more specific and effective measures in the country’s poverty relief campaign on Friday.

CHINA-BEIJING-WANG YANG-POVERTY ALLEVIATION (CN)

Wang made the remarks at a meeting held by the poverty relief leading group under the State Council, China’s cabinet.

“The pertinence and effectiveness of the poverty relief work should be boosted, with resolute efforts to grasp the real situations, accurately locate relief targets and map out plans for every village and household,” Wang said.

He stressed tourism, the cultivation of animals and plants with local characteristics, vocational training, labor force transfers as well as infrastructure improvements, among other aspects, for the relief plan.

Urging the mobilization of resources across the country, Wang called for increasing financial input, strengthening relief fund management and letting the market play a bigger role.”

via Vice premier urges effective poverty relief efforts – Xinhua | English.news.cn.

28/06/2013

Chinese central govt spending down 20 pct

China Daily: “China’s central government spent 7.43 billion yuan (1.19 billion U.S. dollars) on receptions, vehicles and overseas trips last year, down 20 percent from previous year, according to a government report issued on Thursday.

The amount was also 559 million yuan less than the budgeted figure, according to a State Council report on the central government’s final accounts for 2012.

The report was submitted to the ongoing bi-monthly session of the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (NPC).

Money on officials’ overseas trips totaled 1.95 billion yuan in 2012, 200 million yuan less than the budgeted figure, while 4.07 billion yuan was spent on vehicles and 1.41 billion yuan on receptions, down by 281 million yuan and 78 million yuan, respectively, the report said.

In 2011, central government spending on receptions, vehicles and overseas trips totaled 9.36 billion yuan.

The report attributed the reduction to central government efforts to practice prudence and cut costs.

In 2011, the central government published actual spending on receptions, vehicles and overseas trips in its final accounts report for 2010 for the first time. Government spending in these areas has long been a matter of public concern.

Despite the drop in spending, problems were found regarding central government departments’ holding of sessions and organization of overseas trips, according to a 2012 audit report submitted to the legislative session by the country’s top auditor on Thursday.

The National Audit Office (NAO) audited 45 central government departments last year.

Some departments did not strictly follow the annual plan for overseas trips that they set in the beginning of the year and some did not follow spending protocols, said Liu Jiayi, NAO auditor general, when delivering the report to lawmakers.”

via Central govt spending down 20 pct |Politics |chinadaily.com.cn.

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