Posts tagged ‘Business’

22/03/2012

* China factory activity falters, markets take fright

Reuters: “China’s economic momentum slowed in March as factory activity shrank for a fifth straight month, leaving investors fretting about the risks to global growth and anticipating fresh policy support from Beijing. The HSBC flash purchasing managers index, the earliest indicator of Chinas industrial activity, fell back to 48.1 from February’s four-month high of 49.6. New orders sank to a four-month low, an expected rebound in export orders failed to emerge and new hiring slumped to a two-year low.

“With new export orders sluggish and domestic demand still softening, China’s slow down has yet to finish. This calls for further easing to come from Beijing,” HSBC chief China economist, Qu Hongbin, said in a statement. …

Broad-based weakness in the five key components that generate the headline index level surprised analysts, particularly those who had anticipated a clear cut rebound in factory activity in March after the Lunar New Year disrupted output in the first two months and distorted the data. “This data suggests there’s something more profound at work, that it’s not just a Lunar New Year problem and that it’s not just affecting exports, but domestic demand,” Tim Condon, chief economist and head of Asian research at ING in Singapore, said. …”

via China factory activity falters, markets take fright | Reuters.

22/03/2012

* Outrage over report that India lost $210bn in coal scam

BBC News: “There was outrage in India’s parliament after a draft report by government auditors estimated India lost $210bn by selling coalfields too cheaply. Opposition politicians accused the government of “looting the country” by selling coalfields to companies without competitive bidding. Private and state companies benefited from the allocations between 2004 and 2010, says a Times of India report. …

… the Times of India, quoting the CAG draft, says the $210bn (£133bn) figure is a “conservative estimate, since it takes into account prices for the lowest grade of coal and not the median grade”.

India is one of the largest producers of coal in the world.

This is just the latest in a series of financial scandals to hit the Congress-led government and the revelations caused such anger among opposition politicians that both houses of parliament had to be temporarily adjourned.”

via BBC News – Outrage over report that India lost $210bn in coal scam.

14/03/2012

* Stephen Roach on the consumer opportunity in China

McKinsey: “Focusing on exports to the world’s second-largest economy will help the United States generate growth and jobs, says Morgan Stanley Asia’s former non-executive chairman.

A year ago, the National People’s Congress enacted China’s 12th five-year plan, which included three main building blocks: a greater focus on jobs, urbanization to boost wages, and financing a social safety net that encourages families to spend rather than save. Stephen Roach, a professor at Yale University and former nonexecutive chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, says that this document’s implementation is marking a major shift in China’s model, away from exports and investment and toward internal, private consumption. Therein lies a huge opportunity for other nations to benefit from the emergence of the world’s largest consumer population.

China, currently the biggest and most rapidly growing US export market, is well on its way to “create a consumption dynamic that will outstrip the growth of any consumer market in the world,” Roach asserts—“and shame on us if we’re not a part of that.” In this video, Roach explains how China must turn to internal demand to drive economic development and prosperity and why improving the testy China–US bilateral relationship is so critical for the economic future of both countries. McKinsey Publishing’s Rik Kirkland conducted the interview at the World Economic Forum, in Davos, in January 2012.”

via Stephen Roach on the consumer opportunity in China – McKinsey Quarterly – Retail & Consumer Goods – Sectors & Regions.

Related page: https://chindia-alert.org/economic-factors/consumerism-blossoms/

06/03/2012

* China’s debt-to-GDP ratio hits 43%

China Daily: “China‘s government debt amounts to about 17.5 trillion yuan ($2.78 trillion), about 43 percent of the country’s gross domestic product, Yang Kaisheng, president of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, said Tuesday.

The debt is composed of 10.7 trillion yuan ($1.7 trillion) of local government debt and 6.8 trillion yuan ($1.07 trillion) of central government debt, Yang said at a press conference on the sidelines of China’s annual parliamentary session.”.

via China’s debt-to-GDP ratio hits 43%|Economy|chinadaily.com.cn.

This is shocking news as a year ago (2010) the ratio was only 17.5%! Of course, earlier we blogged about the parlous state of local government debt rising astronomically. This is the result.  ;-(

See: http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/774/economics/list-of-national-debt-by-country/

Some of us are so riveted by China’s trade surplus of some $3 trillion, that we forget about its debt ratio. In other words, China is behaving only slightly more frugally than many Western nations. The only difference *and it is an important one) uis that the trade surplus does (just about) cover the debt.  😉

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