Posts tagged ‘Fiscal policy’

14/12/2013

Six major economic tasks set for next year – Chinadaily.com.cn

Chinese leaders have wrapped up a four-day Economic Work Conference, promising to maintain stable economic policies to achieve reasonable economic growth in the coming year and pointing out six major tasks.

Six major economic tasks set for next year

The four-day economic conference, chaired by China’s President Xi Jinping, decided to maintain the proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy stance in 2014.

In a statement after the conclusion of the close-door-meeting, officials said the country would expand its reforms into different sectors. Especially, focus should be placed on keeping reasonable credit growth and social financing next year. Pushing forward interest rate liberalisation and the internationalisation of the yuan currency also figure on the hit list. The six top tasks for 2014 are

1. Securing food supply, and at the same time, food safety;

2. Changing the industrial structure, resolve the over-capacity issue and promote sustainable economic growth driven by consumption, services and innovation.

3. The government will also try to better manage the debt of local governments.

4. Coordinating the development between different regions.

5. Improve people’s livelihood and boost employment.

6. Last but not least, China will also spur international financial cooperation, mainly in the areas of Free trade agreements and investment deals.It’s widely expected that China’s economy will grow at annual 7.6-7.7 percent this year, above the government target of 7.5 percent.

via Six major economic tasks set for next year – Chinadaily.com.cn.

See also: https://chindia-alert.org/economic-factors/china-needs-to-rebalance-her-economy/

04/03/2013

* China: The next phase of growth

China Policy Institute: “As the new Chinese leadership takes over, their biggest economic challenge remains generating growth for another 30 years. In addition to re-balancing the economy and stimulating more productivity, a key aspect will be the re-defining the role of the state. After over 30 years of marketisation and reform, China remains a mixed picture of state-led policies and a growing number of facially neutral laws with some exemptions for state-owned enterprises.

lyuIn addition, the state-owned commercial banks continue to benefit from official “financial repression” policies, such as the preservation of a spread between lending rates and deposit rates. It helps to generate margins for banks and facilitate their recapitalisation. This policy also enables the state-owned commercial banks to continue to support government policies ranging from fiscal stimulus to supporting state-owned enterprises, though not without cost to overall economic growth as financial repression distorts the allocation of capital.

The high levels of capital formation (some 40% of GDP) in the past two decades and the inefficient allocation of capital away from more productive private firms are worrying. The Twelfth Five Year Plan (2011-15) plans to re-balance the economy towards greater domestic demand and less of a reliance on exports. A key part of the plan is to increase consumption and other parts such as more urbanization and services development would support investment in developing larger urban areas where migrants can settle and government services can be dispersed more efficiently.

This plan in actuality has an implicit 30 year time horizon as these policies of migration, urban development and boosting consumption cannot be achieved in a short time period. Unless China can re-orient its growth model including towards more efficient investments by private firms, then it could find it difficult to sustain a strong growth rate. Part of this challenge will include creating a more secure welfare state.”

via China Policy Institute Blog » The next phase of growth.

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