Posts tagged ‘Fiscal year’

01/06/2013

India’s economic growth at slowest rate in a decade

BBC: “India‘s economy grew at its slowest pace in a decade during the 2012-13 financial year, figures show.

An factory worker welds at an air conditioner manufacturing facility near Ahmedabad

The economy grew by 5% over the year, after having grown at an annual pace of 4.8% in the January-to-March quarter.

India was recording annual growth of 9% until two years ago, but in recent months it has seen a sharp decline blamed on a slowdown in its manufacturing and services sectors.

Foreign investors have also kept away due to delays in key reforms.

One factor is India’s weakening job market.

“Companies now want a perfect candidate. Because of the global recession they are cutting down the job opportunities.”

Falling orders and fewer jobs

According to the latest figures released by the ministry of statistics, India’s manufacturing sector grew at an annual pace of 2.6% during the latest quarter while farm output rose by just 1.4%.

The figures are in line with official estimates. In February, India lowered its growth forecast to 5% for the year, underlining the challenges it faced in reviving the sluggish economy.

Last month, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said the current downturn was “temporary” and he was confident the country’s economy would bounce back to an “8% growth rate”.

However, the mood has remained pessimistic in the business community with industry leaders worried over high rates of inflation.

The slowing economy has also meant that Indian companies are putting less profit back into their businesses.

Annual capital investment growth slowed to 3.5% in the first three months of 2013, down from 4.5% year-on-year in the previous quarter.

Meanwhile, complex business regulations are often blamed for driving foreign companies away.

Foreign direct investment into India has fallen, while the amount of corporate money leaving the country is on the rise.

“The government needs to go all-out to turn around investment sentiment,” said Yes Bank chief economist Shubhada Rao.

via BBC News – India’s economic growth at slowest rate in a decade.

21/11/2012

* India to miss export target

Bad news for ruling Congress Party as national general elections are scheduled for next year.

WSJ: “India’s merchandise exports are set to fall way short of initial estimates because of a demand slowdown in key markets, shows a government projection that is likely to deepen concerns on the country’s financial health and hurt its currency.

India’s exports could be as low as $291 billion in the fiscal year through March, compared with the initial target of $360 billion, according to a trade ministry document. At best, that if market conditions improve dramatically from now, exports could total $300 billion to $320 billion.

via India to Miss Export Target – WSJ.com.

16/03/2012

* India: ‘Need for urgent reforms as corruption, civil society activism delay decisions’

The Hindu: “The government on Thursday gave a clarion call for urgent economic reforms while conceding that corruption scandals and compulsions of coalition politics have slowed down the decision-making process, as a result of which it is faced with fiscal slippages in 2011-12.

Making a strong pitch for raising tax resources and higher compliance, the Economic Survey 2011-12, tabled in Parliament on Thursday in tandem with the Reserve Bank in its mid-quarter policy review, expressed serious concern over the deteriorating state of government finances and stressed the need for fiscal consolidation if inflation is to be tamed.

Highlighting inflation and fiscal slippages as among the major challenges confronting the economy, the Survey said a slackening in the pace of reforms and high-profile corruption scandals along with “welcome civil society activism” have led to delay in decision-making by civil servants.

Tabled in the Lok Sabha by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee, the Survey said “coalition politics and federal considerations played their roles in holding up economic reforms on several fronts, ranging from diesel and LPG pricing to FDI in retail” and also pointed to the economic slowdown partly resulting from domestic issues “like pressures of democratic politics.”

In concert with the apex bank on the need for fiscal consolidation, the Survey said: “The principal way in which this has to be achieved is by raising tax-GDP ratio and cutting down wasteful expenditures.”

The Survey noted that the dismal economic performance this fiscal should be a “wake-up call” but, at the same time, expressed cautious optimism that the GDP growth in 2012-13 would go up to 7.6 per cent following a moderation in inflation and consequent low interest rates.

“The growth rate of real GDP [is expected] to pick up to 7.6 per cent [plus or minus 0.25 per cent] in 2012-13 and faster beyond that,” the Survey said and noted that economic expansion this fiscal would moderate to a three-year low at 6.9 per cent. Arguing out a case for fiscal consolidation, tax reforms, opening of the multi-brand retail to global chains, freeing of diesel prices and the need for honesty among political leaders and policy-makers, the Survey said that although government’s fiscal deficit was likely to significantly go off the target of 4.6 per cent of GDP this fiscal, it would narrow down to 4.1 per cent in 2012-13 on the strength of a pick-up in economic activities. After tabling the pre-budget document, the Finance Minister said: “It [the Survey] charts economic development and challenges faced during the fiscal year. It is a vital input for the preparation of the budget.”

At a press briefing later during the day, Chief Economic Adviser Kaushik Basu, prime architect of the document, said growth in manufacturing and agriculture sectors were likely to be key drivers in the next fiscal. “There could be one more year of a slight slowing down of investment and saving rates. We expect… rates to pick up handsomely after that,” he said.”

via The Hindu : News / National : ‘Need for urgent reforms as corruption, civil society activism delay decisions’.

Related page: https://chindia-alert.org/political-factors/indian-tensions/

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