Posts tagged ‘Greece’

06/11/2015

India’s Consumers Are World’s Most Confident – India Real Time – WSJ

India might be facing a slow recovery, but consumers aren’t deterred, putting the country at the top of a confidence survey of major economies.

India came first for consumer confidence among 61 countries in the July-September period in the online survey conducted by New York-based research firm The Nielsen Company.

The country’s positive reading, which measures perceptions of local job prospects, personal finances and spending intentions, comes at a time when confidence declined in eight of the 14 countries in the Asia-Pacific region.

“Indian consumers continue to declare a resilient outlook in the face of uncertainty in the broader economy,” said Roosevelt D’Souza, senior vice president, Nielsen India Region.

Despite weak economic indicators, a poor monsoon and volatility in the job market, Indians’ belief in the fundamental prospects of the country’s economic future appear unshaken and the proportion of consumers who see brighter days ahead are growing, Mr. D’Souza said.

The Indian central bank’s softer interest rate regime and lower inflation are also likely to brighten the prospects of further improvement in consumer confidence, the survey shows.

This might be good news for the economy and consumer goods companies, who reported slow growth in their revenues for the past few quarters because of lower purchases by rural consumers.

China, India’s bigger neighbor and the world’s second-largest economy, ranked ninth in the survey, while the U.S. occupied second place.

The U.S. showed the biggest quarterly improvement of 18 points in the consumer confidence index, but China showed a decline of one point. Its economy has been racked in recent months by an unexpected slowdown and stock market rout.

Other Asian countries that found a place in the top 10 are the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand.

Source: India’s Consumers Are World’s Most Confident – India Real Time – WSJ

13/07/2015

Under a Cloud: Outlook for India’s Outsourcers Looks Gloomy – India Real Time – WSJ

Investor fears that growth in India’s outsourcing industry is slowing down appear all but confirmed.

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., India’s biggest outsourcer by revenue, reported its first results for the fiscal year of 2016 late last week.

The Mumbai-based company met analyst expectations, with a 12.9% rise in its first-quarter net profit. A bigger concern is slowing sales growth, a sign that the company is finding it harder to grow its business. Tata’s revenue grew by 3.5% in the three-months through June, down from 5.5% growth over the same period the previous year.

The slowdown spooked investors: TCS is an industry bellwether.

After the results, Tata’s shares closed down 2% on Friday, below the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex that closed up 0.3%. Competitors Infosys Ltd. and Wipro Ltd. are set to report results next week.

Analysis by The Wall Street Journal of revenue and profit data from India’s top-three outsourcing firms since March 2014 shows that TCS is not alone.

Other Indian firms are also not just struggling to return to the lightning growth they experienced in the ‘90s, they are moving further away from it.

With the exception of the three-month period ending September 2014, when the weakening rupee helped boost their bottom lines, revenue and net income at TCS, Wipro and Infosys has been slowing, data showed.

All three have seen their revenue growth since March 2014 turn south.

So what’s behind the deceleration?

One reason: a change in the way multinationals spend on technology.

In the past two years, many firms have resumed spending on technology after cutting back in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, say Indian outsourcers.

Clients increasingly want solutions that use new technologies like data analytics software that help them analyze customer data or save on costs associated with procurement and logistics, and Indian outsourcers are not as good at this compared to their global competitors, say technology purchasing managers.

And, instead of employing large technology firms to run their back-end systems, the firms have increasingly signed up for pay-as-you-go services on the cloud—where servers and software are accessed via the Internet rather than on local networks or personal computers.

In the fight to regain ground, TCS is boosting its spending on digital technology, like big data, mobile app development and cloud computing.

On Thursday, for the first time, the company disclosed how much.  TCS said that it earned about $2 billion in revenue from digital technologies in the three months through June. That figure indicated that the Indian company was earning a small but significant part of its revenue from new technologies, including software that helps firms analyze social media or spending patterns for retailers.

In a further shift toward digitizing its business offering,  TCS will also train 100,000 people in digital technologies in the fiscal year 2016.

TCS Chief Executive N. Chandrasekaran said the Indian outsourcing giant would reach its target of earning more than $5 billion from digital technologies in the next four years. Revenue from this segment is growing at double-digits on a quarter-to-quarter basis, he said.

With its $4.08 billion in cash, left after paying huge dividends and industry-beating wage hikes, TCS could reach that target sooner than expected if it buys firms specializing in digital services, analysts say.

via Under a Cloud: Outlook for India’s Outsourcers Looks Gloomy – India Real Time – WSJ.

08/07/2015

Greece and China expose limits of ‘whatever it takes’ | Reuters

For a world so confident that central banks can solve almost all economic ills, the dramas unfolding in Greece and China are sobering.

“Whatever it takes,” Mario Draghi‘s 2012 assertion about what the ECB would do to save the euro, best captures the all-powerful, self-aware central bank activism that’s cosseted world markets since the banking and credit collapse hit eight years ago.

From the United States to Europe and Asia, financial markets have been cowed, then calmed and are now coddled by the limitless power of central banks to print new money to ward off systemic shocks and deflation.

But even if you believe central banks will do whatever it takes – to save the euro, stop the recession, create jobs, boost inflation, prop up the stock market and so on – it doesn’t necessarily mean it will always work.

Draghi himself merely pleaded for faith on that score three years ago when he added, “Believe me, it will be enough.”

Critically, given the direction of events in Athens, his celebrated epigraph was preceded by “Within our mandate…”

And so the prospect of the European Central Bank potentially presiding over, some say precipitating, the first national exit from a supposedly unbreakable currency union will inspire a rethink of the limits of Draghi’s phrase for all central banks.

Of course, the ECB does not want to push Greece out of the euro. But ‘whatever it takes’ may just not be enough to preserve the integrity of the 19-nation bloc if the ECB’s mandate prevents it from endlessly funneling emergency funding to insolvent Greek banks.

And as long as the Greek government is at loggerheads with its creditors, the central bank can’t wave a magic wand of monetary support without breaking its own rules.

The ECB continues to insist it will do all in its power to prevent contagion to other euro zone markets and there’s little doubt it will make good on that. But the problems stemming from a Greek exit are not of financial seepage but of political contagion to other euro electorates tiring of austerity. And that sort of contagion is beyond ECB control.

via Greece and China expose limits of ‘whatever it takes’ | Reuters.

08/07/2015

China Stock Tumble Scarier Than Greek Debt Crisis – China Real Time Report – WSJ

China’s stock plunge is scarier than Greece, writes Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s Ruchir Sharma:

The continuing crisis is viewed, locally and globally, as a test of China’s control over the economy. The “Beijing put”—a perception that Chinese economy and markets are backstopped by the government—is under threat. That perception has underpinned the widespread belief that Chinese growth won’t fall much below 7%, because that is the government’s desired target and Beijing is omnipotent.

But if Beijing can’t stop the market’s tumble, there could be a sudden shift in the perception of exactly how far economic growth might fall under the weight of too much debt. If that floor crumbles and the Chinese economy spirals downward, it will make the drama surrounding Greece feel like a sideshow. China has been the largest contributor to global growth this decade; Greece’s economy is about the size as that of Bangladesh or Vietnam.

via China Stock Tumble Scarier Than Greek Debt Crisis – China Real Time Report – WSJ.

05/02/2015

Why Oil-Hungry China Isn’t Reaping Benefits From Low Prices – China Real Time Report – WSJ

China – which gets 60% of its oil from abroad — is on its way to becoming the world’s largest petroleum importer, and is already there by some measures. So in theory it stands to be a huge beneficiary of plummeting oil prices.

However, as The Wall Street Journal reports, the benefits of cheap oil for several major economies are far less clear, as governments from Europe to Japan battle fears that falling prices—in part a result of cheap energy—will deter spending by consumers and new investment by companies.

In China, cheap oil hasn’t been nearly the boon many may have thought. That is the result of several factors.

The government controls prices, meaning the drops for Chinese businesses and consumers lag those of international oil markets. China’s central government has raised fuel taxes, offsetting prices declines. Both factors add up: The government-maximum price in Beijing for basic-quality gas comes out to roughly $3.50 a gallon, once currency conversions and other factors are weighed. Compare that to the U.S., where that same gallon costs about $2.07.

Then there are the structural issues in China’s economy like overcapacity that low prices can’t fix.

“If you look at the lower oil price, it’s true China is a net importer of oil so in theory it should be beneficial,” said Vincent Chan, a research analyst at Credit Suisse CSGN.VX +0.05%. “But at the same time you have other issues like some of the structural issues that are more important in China.”

The bottom line for China: While consumers and some industries have gotten a boost from lower oil prices, the benefits have been pared by the central government’s preference for price stability. Similarly across Asia, governments have used low oil prices to unwind complicated and costly subsidies, which in recent years have kept prices at the pump artificially low for many Asian consumers.

via Why Oil-Hungry China Isn’t Reaping Benefits From Low Prices – China Real Time Report – WSJ.

05/09/2014

China’s ‘Birthplace of Kung Fu’ Hopes to Train CEOs to Meditate – Businessweek

The ancient Shaolin Temple, perched on a leafy mountaintop in eastern China, is widely recognized as the birthplace of kung fu. For at least 1,500 years, its resident monks have preserved the physical and psychological training regimen of the legendary martial work. Now they’re trying to master commercial arts, too.

A monk practicing kung fu at the Shaolin Temple in Dengfeng, China

The temple is hiring a media director and social media editor, according to state-run Chinese newswire Xinhua. “The need arises from an internationalizing Shaolin,” a monk who works for the temple’s “Intangible Assets Management Center” told the newswire. The ideal candidate would be versed in China’s fast-growing social media platforms, especially Twitter (TWTR)-like Sina Weibo (SINA), as well as fluent in both Mandarin and English.

Shaolin already offers high-end, live-in meditation courses for chief executive officers willing to live on the mountain as martial arts apprentices for a month, as China Daily recently reported. For those with less time to spare, one-time sit-down sessions with the temple’s abbot are also available. Earlier this year, members of the elite China Entrepreneurs Club attended a private conference at the temple with the theme “self cultivation of entrepreneurs.”

Last year, about 800 foreign executives also came to study and train on the mountain. A marketing manager from Greece who came to Shaolin for a two-week course told the newspaper: “In business, you have to be flexible; you have to find new paths and change. You have to see a crisis and avoid it. Kung fu teaches you to be fluid, like water, because everything in kung fu flows, and stagnation is bad.”

Once its social media marketing team is in place, Shaolin hopes to expand outreach to overseas business leaders who seek to cultivate kung fu mindfulness. Its courses are a relative bargain compared to executive MBA programs, ranging from $800 to $10,000.

via China’s ‘Birthplace of Kung Fu’ Hopes to Train CEOs to Meditate – Businessweek.

11/05/2014

Study: Happiness, Money Matter Most to Indians – India Real Time – WSJ

Happiness matters most to the average Indian. At the same time, the average Indian care more about their pay than most do in South Asia. In fact, Indians care more about their paycheck than people in the U.S. or Europe.

Those findings, recently released by the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, was based on a survey of more than 60,000 people about their quality of life. Respondents were asked to rank 11 categories – from income and job satisfaction to personal health and safety – in order of what mattered most to them.

Life satisfaction, or happiness, OECD found, was most important to people world-over. More than 75% of those surveyed reported more positive experiences in a day over negative experiences. Respondents from Iceland, Japan and New Zealand felt the most positive, while those in Greece and Turkey showed the lowest levels of happiness.

Personal health was second-most important concern. China, Canada, France and Australia were among countries that ranked personal health as most important to them, even over happiness, safety and a stable income.

World-over, civic engagement, or greater participation in public policies, occupied a lowly position in rankings. Fewer than two-fifths of those surveyed said they trusted their national governments — but also said fixing the state of affairs in their country wasn’t a priority.

The world’s biggest-ever election is underway in India, for instance, yet the nearly 600 Indians OCED surveyed, ranked civic engagement, or greater participation in public policies, as least-important to them.

India’s South Asian neighbors — China, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka – were no different. Civic engagement was least-important to people across the four countries. Respondents in each of these countries differed about what mattered most to them.

While Indians and Chinese picked happiness and health care, respectively, respondents from Pakistan named safety as their top concern. Education mattered the most to people in Sri Lanka.

via Study: Happiness, Money Matter Most to Indians – India Real Time – WSJ.

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29/10/2012

* Under Chinese, a Greek Port Thrives

If only this phenomenon can be replicated across Greece and other Euro PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain) countries …

New York Times: “The captain gazed from his elegant office overlooking this port on the Aegean Sea and smiled as towering cranes plucked container after container from a giant ship while robotic transport vehicles fanned out to transfer the cargo to smaller vessels bound for the Mediterranean.

The cargo volume here is three times the level it was two years ago, before the captain, Fu Cheng Qiu, was put in charge by his employer, Cosco, a global shipping giant owned by the Chinese government.

In a 2010 deal that put 500 million euros ($647 million) into the coffers of Greece’s cash-starved government, Cosco leased half of the port of Piraeus and quickly converted a business that had languished as a Greek state-run enterprise into a hotbed of productivity.

The other half of the port is still run by Greece. And the fact that its business lags behind Cosco’s is emblematic of the entrenched labor rules and relatively high wages — for those lucky enough to still have jobs — that have stifled the country’s economic growth.

“Everyone here knows that you must be hard-working,” said Captain Fu, under whose watch the Chinese-run side of the port has lured new clients, high-volume traffic and bigger ships.

In many ways, the top-to-bottom overhaul that Cosco is imposing on Piraeus is what Greece as a whole must aspire to if it is ever to restore competitiveness to its recession-sapped economy, make a dent in its 24 percent unemployment rate and avoid being dependent on its European neighbors for years to come.

As the Greek government contemplates shedding state-owned assets to help pay down staggering debts, it might be tempting to consider leasing or even selling the rest of the port to China. But if the Cosco example is representative, the trade-offs — mainly a sharp reduction in labor costs and job protection rules — might be ones many Greeks would be loath to accept.

“Unionized labor will push back to keep the protection it has enjoyed,” said Vassilis Antoniades, the chief executive of Boston Consulting Group in Greece. But the Cosco investment, he said, “shows that under private management, Greek companies can be globally competitive.”

Captain Fu, for his part, says Greece has much to learn from companies like his.

“The Chinese want to make money with work,” he said. In his view, too many Europeans have pursued a comfortable, protected existence since the end of World War II. “They wanted a good life, more holidays and less work,” he said. “And they spent money before they had it. Now they have many debts.”

Greece’s troika of foreign lenders — the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Commission — has made similar arguments. Among other things, they are urging Prime Minister Antonis Samaras to end blanket protections for workers and unions and to require Greece itself to operate more like a productive modern business.

Besides the $647 million that put half of the port of Piraeus into Chinese hands, the Greek government is receiving more income from taxes as a result of the port’s pickup in business.

Other than a handful of Chinese managers, moreover, Cosco’s operation is providing around 1,000 jobs to Greek workers — compared with the 800 or so who work the dock that is still under Greek management.

On Cosco’s portion of the port, cargo traffic has more than doubled over the last year, to 1.05 million containers. And while profit margins are still razor thin — $6.47 million last year on sales of $94.2 million — that is mainly because the Chinese company is putting a lot of its money back into the port.

Cosco is spending more than $388 million to modernize its dock to handle up to 3.7 million containers in the next year, which would make it one of the world’s 10 largest ports. Beyond that, workers are also laying the foundations for a second Cosco pier.

The Greek-run side of the port, which endured a series of debilitating worker strikes in the three years before Cosco came to town, has been forced by the Chinese competition to seek its own path to modernization. Still, only about a third of its business consists of cargo handling; the rest is made up of more lucrative passenger traffic.

For years, the container terminal was a profitable operation. But Harilaos N. Psaraftis, a professor of maritime transport at the School of Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering in Athens, said it was inefficient “because worker relations were very cumbersome.”

The salaries of some workers reached $181,000 a year with overtime; Cosco is typically paying less than $23,300. On the Greek side of the port, union rules required that nine people work a gantry crane; Cosco uses a crew of four.

“It was just crazy,” recalled Mr. Psaraftis, who was the chief executive of the port from 1996 to 2002. “I told them, ‘If you keep this up, this thing will be privatized.’ But they didn’t listen.”

Since Cosco arrived, “competition has forced us to take initiatives to find better ways of working,” said Stavros Hatzakos, the general director of Piraeus Port Authority, which runs the Greek operation. “Employees think twice about strikes and labor action now,” he said. And the ones still on the job have taken salary reductions as part of the across-the-board wage cuts of 20 percent or more that the government has placed on public employees.

On the other side of the chain-link fence that separates the Chinese and Greek operations, Captain Fu said he would love for Cosco to run all of Piraeus if the government put it up for sale. That expansion would cement Chinese dominance of one of the most strategic shipping gateways to Southern Europe and the Balkans.

Such a move, though, might meet stiff opposition from Greek unions and officials at the Piraeus Port Authority, who criticize Cosco’s approach to labor.”

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