Is India the Most Attractive Place for Retailers? – India Real Time – WSJ

India has leapt into second place in a ranking of the most-attractive developing economies for retailers compiled by Chicago-based consulting company A.T. Kearney.

The company assessed 30 countries based on economic growth, urban population and ease of doing business, among other factors. China topped the list for the second consecutive year, followed by India, Malaysia, Kazakhstan and Indonesia.

A.T. Kearney said India’s high growth rate, vast pool of consumers and new rules for foreign investors lifted the country up 13 spots in this year’s Global Retail Development Index.“Retail demand is increasingly driven by urbanization, an expanding middle class, and more women entering the workforce,” the A.T. Kearney report said. But it noted that not everything was rosy, saying India remains a “challenging and complex market” with infrastructure bottlenecks.

Some retailers and analysts said they were surprised at India’s sharp move up in the A.T. Kearney ranking.

A rule that requires foreign retailers to source at least 30% of their merchandise locally, for example, has led companies to rethink their big plans for India.

Wal-Mart Stores has shelved plans to open supermarkets in India saying the requirement is near-impossible to meet. French hypermarket chain Carrefour has also shut shop.

Swedish retailer IKEA is struggling to source domestically, as The Wall Street Journal detailed in this front-page story. And government officials said recently they don’t plan to exempt Apple from local-sourcing requirements.

Meanwhile, consultants and retailers are growing increasingly skeptical about the size of India’s middle class. Most of India’s population still lives under $2 a day; only a fraction of its 1.2 billion people can afford a Zara dress or a Starbucks Frappuccino.

A change in A.T. Kearney’s methodology could have boosted India’s fortunes. The company said it tweaked the metrics it used to calculate this year’s index, which “had a substantial impact on the rankings.

”For example, it evaluated countries with a population of over 5 million this year, compared with 3 million last year. As a result, some countries that were ranked highly last year – such as Uruguay in 2nd place, Qatar in 4th place, and Mongolia in 5th  place, weren’t analyzed this year.

Source: Report: Is India the Most Attractive Place for Retailers? – India Real Time – WSJ

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