Archive for ‘Manufacturing’

11/03/2013

* Toy Maker Brings K’Nex Production Back to U.S.

Yet another example of manufacturing returning to the West.

WSJ: “As every American child knows, toys come from the North Pole or—more likely—China. But K’Nex Brands LP, a family-owned company in this Philadelphia suburb, is trying to prove they can still be made in America.

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Over the past few years, K’Nex has brought most of the production of its plastic building toys back to its factory in Hatfield from subcontractors in China. To make that possible, the company has redesigned some of the toys and even handed over to kids a bit of the assembly formerly performed by hand in China.

“In the long term, it’s much better for us to manufacture here,” says Joel Glickman, chairman of K’Nex and its manufacturing affiliate, Rodon Group. The two companies have combined sales of more than $100 million, making them small players compared with American rivals Hasbro Inc. HAS +1.49% and Mattel Inc., MAT +0.41% neither of which has announced plans to shift production to the U.S.

By moving production closer to U.S. retailers, K’Nex said it can react faster to the fickle shifts in toy demand and deliver hot-selling items to stores faster. It also has greater control over quality and materials, often a crucial safety issue for toys. And as wages and transport costs rise in China, the advantages of producing there for the U.S. market are waning.

But K’Nex has found it impossible so far to produce 100% U.S.-made toys, the firm’s goal. The K’Nex experience shows both the attractions of “reshoring” production and the difficulties of making that happen in a country whose manufacturing infrastructure has atrophied.

Lining up suppliers has been a complicated chore in the U.S., where toy-making skills have faded. China, by contrast, has a vast, efficient network of suppliers and skilled labor. “In China, you can go over with just a drawing and say, ‘I need a million of these,'” says Michael Araten, chief executive of K’nex. That helps account for a huge U.S. deficit in the toy trade. In 2012, U.S. imports of toys, games and sporting goods, mostly from China, totaled $33.5 billion, or about three times U.S. exports of such items.”

via Toy Maker Brings K’Nex Production Back to U.S. – WSJ.com.

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03/03/2013

* Spill in China Lays Bare Environmental Concerns

NY Times: “The first warning came in the form of dead fish floating in a river.

 

Then officials in this city got confirmation that a chemical spill had taken place at a fertilizer factory upstream. They shut off the tap water, which sent residents into a scramble for bottled water. In the countryside, officials also told farmers not to graze their livestock near the river.

The spill, which occurred on Dec. 31, affected at least 28 villages and a handful of cities of more than one million people, including Handan. Officials here were irate that their counterparts in Changzhi, where the polluting factory was located, had delayed reporting the spill for five days. For the past two months, Changzhi officials and executives at the company running the factory, Tianji Coal Chemical Industry Group, have generally stayed silent, exacerbating anxiety over water quality.

The conflict over the Changzhi spill has drawn attention to the growing problems with water use and pollution in northern China. The region, which has suffered from a drought for decades, is grappling with how industrial companies should operate along rivers. Local officials are shielding polluting companies and covering up environmental degradation, say environmentalists.

“Problems with water weren’t so serious before, but they have become much worse with industrial consumption,” said Yin Qingli, a lawyer in Handan who filed a lawsuit in January against Tianji, which uses water to convert coal to fertilizer at the factory in Changzhi.

Environmental degradation has led many Chinese to question the Communist Party’s management of the country’s economic growth. Addressing the problem is one the greatest challenges for the administration of Xi Jinping, the new chief of the Communist Party. Environmental issues will most likely be on the agenda at the annual meeting of the National People’s Congress, scheduled to begin on Tuesday.”

via Spill in China Lays Bare Environmental Concerns – NYTimes.com.

03/03/2013

Another indication of China’s industry going up-stream.

25/02/2013

As China matures and its labour policies and pay improves, it will become less competitive for low-cost production. The question is: can China move up the manufacturing value chain fast enough to avoid the predictable problems it will face?

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10/02/2013

* China’s Focus on Aerospace Raises Security Questions

NY Times: “When Airbus executives arrived here seven years ago scouting for a location to assemble passenger jets, the broad, flat expanse next to Tianjin Binhai International Airport was a grassy field.

A worker in an Airbus facility in Tianjin, China, that completes four planes a month, mostly for state-run carriers.

Now, Airbus, the European aerospace giant, has 20 large buildings and is churning out four A320 jetliners a month for mostly Chinese state-controlled carriers. The company also has two new neighbors — a sprawling rocket factory and a helicopter manufacturing complex — both producing for the Chinese military.

The rapid expansion of civilian and military aerospace manufacturing in Tianjin reflects China’s broader ambitions.

As Beijing’s leaders try to find new ways to invest $3 trillion of foreign reserves, the country has been aggressively expanding in industries with strong economic potential. The Chinese government and state-owned companies have already made a major push into financial services and natural resources, acquiring stakes in Morgan Stanley and Blackstone and buying oil and gas fields around the world.

Aerospace represents the latest frontier for China, which is eyeing parts manufacturers, materials producers, leasing businesses, cargo airlines and airport operators. The country now rivals the United States as a market for civilian airliners, which China hopes to start supplying from domestic production. And the new leadership named at the Party Congress in November has publicly emphasized long-range missiles and other aerospace programs in its push for military modernization.

If Boeing’s difficulties with its recently grounded aircraft, the Dreamliner, weigh on the industry, it could create opportunity. Chinese companies, which have plenty of capital, have been welcomed by some American companies as a way to create jobs. Wall Street has been eager, too, at a time when other merger activity has been weak.”

via China’s Focus on Aerospace Raises Security Questions – NYTimes.com.

03/02/2013

* The slow boat back from China

Another article about the ‘return’ of manufacturing from China; this time to Britain.

Sunday Times: “Janan Leo had waited what felt like for ever to find a British shoemaker to help bring production of her ballet pumps to Britain from China.

Janan Leo makes ballet pumps

When Leo launched her company, Cocorose London, in 2007 the savings offered by cheap Chinese labour outweighed the benefits of British production. In recent months, however, her costs have gone up about 30% because of spiralling wages and raw materials prices in the Far East and rising shipping fees.

“In the early days we had the bags for our shoes made in London, but it was far too expensive so we sent everything offshore,” said Leo, 32, who had sales of £1m last year. “Now the cost advantages are less clear-cut.”

In 2011 she approached a family-owned factory in Northamptonshire, near the headquarters of the renowned Church’s and Loake shoe brands, to make a new range of pumps.

At first, the supplier was unsure. “They were worried about sourcing materials and the cost of the equipment needed just to make the samples. These aren’t problems I’ve ever had in China.”

The deal went ahead and Cocorose’s second luxury collection is now on sale. “British manufacturing is still not as cheap as in the Far East but the upsides more than offset the costs. Customers in Japan and South Korea are going mad for the British heritage [and] the quality is outstanding.”

It started as a trickle, but now a steady stream of small firms are bringing some or all of their manufacturing home as the gap between Chinese and domestic production costs narrows. Chinese pay has doubled over the past decade.

Small firms are also finding that supply chains stretching from Beijing to Britain are vulnerable to disruption. More than a fifth said cashflow complications from delayed orders had hurt their businesses, according to research by EEF, the manufacturers’ group.

“Companies in sectors as diverse as clothing, components and computer equipment are all weighing up whether to bring production back home,” said Simon Nicholson, an international trade adviser at Barclays. “It’s driven by cost and delivery, but firms are also catching on to the idea of Britain as a brand with real cachet in foreign markets.”

Yet factories here may be ill- equipped to meet this growing demand. “British firms have been quietly starting to bring contracts back home since about 2009, but it is taking time for them to find the right suppliers, and for producers to buy the plant and machinery needed,” said Lee Hopley, chief economist at the EEF.

Andy Loveland’s business, Earlyrider, has used a Chinese manufacturer to make its wooden Balance Bikes for small children since its launch in 2006. But Oxfordshire-based Loveland, 41, wanted a British company to make his latest product, a toddlers’ ride-on toy called the Spherovelo.

“We needed to work closely with an industrial designer and to control production because the Spherovelo is completely original — and, unlike our Balance Bikes, labour would be only 15% of overall production costs.”

Loveland’s experience with Inject Plastics, the Plymouth factory he commissioned to make the tools and produce the Spherovelo, was mixed. “The tooling was supposed to take three months, but in the end it was seven. It meant we had to let down a key customer, which was devastating.”

Inject went into administration but in December it was bought by Magmatic, the business behind the Trunki ride-on suitcase for children. Rob Law, Trunki’s founder, had moved production from China to the factory seven months earlier.

He said: “It was a long-held ambition to manufacture in Britain — for ourselves and other companies, such as Spherovelo — and shipping was going through the roof.” Magmatic’s door-to-door transport costs rose 58% in the first five months of 2012.

Since the move to Britain, Trunki’s lead times have shrunk from 120 days to 30. As a result, the firm holds less stock, and pressure on cashflow has been eased. “Best of all, we saved jobs and created new ones,” said Law.

Andrew Cock has also opted to take manufacturing into his own hands. In May his £30m-turnover company, Multipanel UK, will open a factory near Dover making panels for road signs and shop fascias. The £5m facility will use Taiwanese machinery and British recycled plastic to make about 60% of the firm’s output. The rest will continue to be made in China for sale to Asian customers.

“We took the decision a couple of years ago when Chinese costs started rising,” said Cock, 51, who reckons that labour has increased 30% over 18 months, while raw materials are up about 15% after currency movements are included.

“It’s not just a financial decision, it’s about quality too,” added Exeter-based Cock. “We want to win business by making the best product at the least cost. We also think that cutting our products’ carbon footprint will open the door to big corporate customers with a corporate social responsibility agenda.”

Multipanel’s investment has so far been funded from cashflow, but not all manufacturers in loan-starved Britain have access to expansion capital.

“We are working with lots of producers that have downsized during the recession but are now being asked to make small, high-quality batches,” said David Wright of Growth Accelerator, a government-backed advisory service. “They have the skills to adapt to new jobs but they lack the cash to scale up.””

via The slow boat back from China | The Sunday Times.

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21/01/2013

* Ex-minister blames China’s pollution mess on lack of rule of law

SCMP: “China had a chance to avoid environmental disasters some 40 to 30 years ago, the country’s first environmental protection chief has lamented amid worsening air and water pollution.

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But Professor Qu Geping, who has overseen environmental policymaking since the early 1970s, said pollution had run wild as a result of unchecked economic growth under a “rule of men”, as opposed to the rule of law. Their rule imposed no checks on power and allowed governments to ignore environmental protection laws and regulations.

“I would not call the past 40 years’ efforts of environmental protection a total failure,” he said. “But I have to admit that governments have done far from enough to rein in the wild pursuit of economic growth … and failed to avoid some of the worst pollution scenarios we, as policymakers, had predicted.”

Qu, 83, was China’s first environmental protection administrator between 1987 and 1993. He then headed the National People’s Congress environment and resource committee for 10 years.

After three decades of worsening industrial pollution resulting from rapid urbanisation and industrialisation, China has accumulated huge environmental debts that will have to be paid back, Qu said.

He said recently he regretted that some of the very forward-looking strategies – emphasising a more balanced and co-ordinated approach to development and conservation, that were worked out as early as 1983 – were never put into serious practice when China was still at an early stage of industrialisation.

In 1970, premier Zhou Enlai had invited a Japanese journalist to give a lecture to senior government officials on the lessons Japan had learned from a series of heavy metal pollution scandals that killed several hundred people during a period of rapid industrialisation in the 1950s and 1960s, Qu said.

“But looking back, China fell into the same trap again,” he said. “In some cases, the problems are even worse now given the country’s huge population and the vast scale of its economy.”

via Ex-minister blames China’s pollution mess on lack of rule of law | South China Morning Post.

See also: https://chindia-alert.org/economic-factors/greening-of-china/

20/01/2013

* China’s workforce peak demographics

Well reasoned analysis that goes behind and beyond headline figures – as expected from the EIU.

EIU: “China’s working age population is set to peak in 2013, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit‘s latest demographic projections. However the impact of this milestone on the country’s economy will be different from the experience of other, predominantly rich countries that have already undergone the process. While ageing, the country’s urban workforce will continue to grow. It will also become much better educated.

China Ageing Population

In the developed world, ageing is most commonly associated with shrinking workforces relative to the rest of the population, giving rise to pension cuts, postponed retirement and higher taxes on the young. As an economy still in transition, China need not fret about such issues. For a start, China’s state pension system is far from generous and its coverage low. Rather, the country’s biggest fear is that of worsening labour shortages—a phenomenon that was first reported in the mid–2000s and was subsequently the subject of much attention in the national media. There are two good reasons why these fears are overblown.

Rural fuel

First, China is still in the midst of a massive urbanisation drive. When the working-age populations of Germany and Japan, the world’s largest ageing economies, began to shrink in 1999 and 1995 respectively, the process of massive rural-to-urban migration had already matured. The proportion of the population residing in urban areas, or the urbanisation rate, had more or less stabilised at 73% and 65% respectively.

In contrast, China’s urbanisation rate will only reach 55% this year and is likely to continue rising by around one percentage point (or 13m people) every year, according to our projections. China will only reach Japan’s level of urbanisation by 2022 and Germany’s by 2030. Thus, even though China’s working-age population will shrink overall, the urban working-age population will only peak in 2029 after reaching 695m—135m higher than it was in 2012.

The flip side of this trend is a shrinking rural population. However, China’s rural population has been diminishing for three decades without much adverse impact on agricultural output. That is because its countryside is overpopulated: there are too many farmers working too little land. Indeed, China has even managed to boost agricultural output over the years by investing in machinery and technology.

It is difficult to pinpoint exactly how many more workers the agricultural sector can afford to lose before a large impact on farm output is felt. However, most economists agree that another 100m or so is achievable. Coupled with the fact that the primary sector only accounts for 10% of GDP, it becomes clear that, when it comes to maintaining economic growth, the urban workforce is really the only one that matters.

From factories to classrooms

Second, China’s labour shortages have largely been misdiagnosed. Much ink has been spilt attributing the lack of young workers for unfilled factory vacancies to demographic factors. Yet the number of Chinese aged 16–24 increased from 196m to 210m between 2000 and 2010. The rise in urban areas is even greater. Where, then, did all the young workers go? The answer is simple: they went to school.

The proportion of junior secondary school graduates continuing on to senior secondary school surged from 51% to 88% between 2000 and 2010. At the same time, the proportion of Chinese aged 16–19 that were either employed or seeking employment (the labour participation rate) fell from 57% to 34%. The relationship is clear: rising enrolment rates at schools have played a major role in postponing entry to the workforce.

The surge in school enrolment implies that the supply of young workers entering the job market will not only remain stable as China passes its demographic turning point, but might even grow. Enrolment rates cannot rise forever, and all the would–be teenage workers that were absorbed by the schooling system over the past decade will enter the workforce sooner or later.

As China’s youth becomes better educated, the coming decade will witness the emergence of a two-tiered workforce. One tier will consist of graduates looking for office jobs. The other will remain the country’s “traditional” source of labour: relatively low–skilled rural migrants seeking work in factories and construction yards. The latter group will, however, have aged substantially, creating new challenges for managers and HR departments across the country.

China’s workforce challenge is thus twofold: policymakers need to ensure that there are enough white-collar jobs for graduates, while employers of low-skilled workers will need to come to grips with hiring and managing an older workforce. Failure to do so will have serious consequences. An educated class disillusioned by high unemployment is something China can ill afford at a time of rising social tensions. At the same time, an inability to replace young workers with older ones could spell the end of the golden age of China’s mighty manufacturing sector.

Yet, if the demographic transition is managed successfully, there will be just cause to celebrate. The Chinese economic miracle has pulled more than 200m people out of poverty over the past 30 years. In the last ten, it has allowed 60m children who would otherwise never have finished secondary school to do so. The next task will be to ensure that their studies have not been in vain.”

via Peak demographics.

08/01/2013

* India Proposes Curbs on Tech Imports

WSJ: “India has proposed sweeping curbs on the import of technology products ranging from laptops to Wi-Fi devices to computer-network equipment.

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The proposed regulations, which were reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, would create an expansive “Buy India” mandate requiring a large percentage of the high-tech goods sold in the country to be manufactured locally.

If implemented, the rules could wreak havoc on the business plans of a wide range of U.S. and other foreign firms, including hardware-makers Cisco Systems Inc. CSCO -0.40% and Dell DELL -2.22% Inc.; services companies such as International Business Machines IBM -0.64% Corp.; and telecom-gear suppliers such as Nokia Siemens Networks B.V. and Telefon AB L.M. Ericsson ERIC-B.SK -3.89% .

To comply with the rules, foreign companies would have to set up factories in India quickly—possibly as soon as April—or significantly expand their existing manufacturing capacity in a country where the infrastructure is poor and building plants can take years because of red tape and other hassles.

Or they could face the loss of current business—collectively the industries affected generate billions of dollars in sales here annually—and the chance to tap into what is expected to be a booming technology market in years to come. Spending in India’s technology and electronics market is expected to reach about $400 billion by 2020, up from $45 billion in 2009.

Proposed regulations would require most high-tech goods sold in India to be made there. A Dell factory in India.

The rules are in draft form, and their sweep may reflect some brinkmanship on the part of the Indian government, which wants foreign firms to increase manufacturing in India. The government could still choose to delay or scale back its plan.

Still, U.S. lobbyists and industry are strenuously opposing the proposals, which have quickly become the most serious point of tension in commercial relations between the two countries. The proposals also aren’t the U.S. government’s only concern. It is also trying to head off Indian anti-tax-avoidance rules that would expose foreign investors to huge potential liability if they take effect in April as planned.

“India is the largest free-market democracy in the world. To mandate local manufacturing is antithetical to the very concept of a free marketplace,” said Ron Somers, president of the U.S.-India Business Council, a lobby group for U.S. firms in India.”

via India Proposes Curbs on Tech Imports – WSJ.com.

08/01/2013

* Mahindra to Launch Sun-Powered Car

WSJ: “Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. plans to launch a new, sun-powered electric vehicle in India in the hope that high fuel prices will push consumers to look for new options in the car market.

The car, called e2o,  runs on lithium ion batteries that allow it to travel 100 kilometers in one charge, the company said in a statement Tuesday. The vehicle, the only four-seater electric car in India, can also be solar charged, the statement said. The company will produce it at its new plant in Bangalore and plans to launch it in the market by March.

The name of the vehicle – pronounced “ee to oh” – follows the Mahindra tradition of having vehicle names ending with o (Scorpio, Bolero, Xylo, Gio, Genio). The company said the “e” in the name stands for the energy of the sun, and the “0” for oxygen.”

via Mahindra to Launch Sun-Powered Car – India Real Time – WSJ.

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